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Office rents in Europe saw strongest growth of last five years in second quarter of 2016
Rents on prime office assets across Europe grew by 1.5% quarter on quarter in the second quarter of 2016 compared to 0.7% in the previous quarter, the strongest increase in the past five years. Rents in Europe outpaced the Americas and Asia Pacific regions with Stockholm recording the strongest growth in region of 9.4% followed by Berlin with growth of 6.3%. The data from real estate firm JLL also shows that Paris saw growth of 3.4% as limited new supply and more robust take-up pushed up prime rents for the fourth consecutive quarter while in Southern Europe, the momentum in the market recovery has continued in Milan with rents up 2% and in Barcelona up 3.7% and Madrid up 0.9%. Following the UK’s decision to leave the European Union headline rents have so far remained unchanged in London compared to the first quarter of 2016. The report says that rent free periods may soften as occupiers look to negotiate more flexible terms with greater lease flexibility. But the Brexit vote has so far had little effect on rental growth outside the UK. ‘Office demand is proving resilient in many of the world's dominant commercial real estate markets despite increased political and economic uncertainty which is leading to corporate occupiers striking a more cautious tone,’ said Jeremy Kelly, director in global research programmes at JLL. ‘Underlying market fundamentals are sound and corporate demand is holding up well, notably in continental Europe,’ he pointed out and added that looking to the second half of the year, a period of steady rental increases for prime European offices is anticipated. Indeed JLL is predicting rental growth of 2.5% to 3% in Western Europe which will outperform the 10 year average over the next few years. Stockholm and Madrid are expected to be the region's high performers over 2016. ‘In London, rents and incentives may come under pressure in certain sections of the market, although low vacancy rates coupled with an increasingly diverse occupier base will act to cushion the impact of weaker sentiment,’ said Jon Neale, head of UK research at JLL. ‘Our priority over the second half of the year will be to monitor occupier activity and other developments, although it is unlikely that any real conclusions over longer term market implications can be made until the nature of Brexit becomes more apparent as we move into 2017,’ he explained. ‘For the time being, however, our research indicates that the vast majority of occupier deals in progress at the time of the referendum are still continuing as planned,’ he added. Continue reading
UK buyers with pension pots favouring property as an investment, it is claimed
Pensioners in the UK have more investment opportunities than ever before due to pension rule changes and many are looking to property as an alternative to annuities, shares and bonds, it is claimed. Since pensioners were granted full control of their retirement savings in April, some 70% have opted to drawdown all or part of their retirement wealth and domestic and international property is topping the investment stakes. Compared to investments in the stock market, property remains a far more predictable and stable option in the longer term according to the latest Global Real Estate Outlook report from property investment company, IP Global. IP Global’s findings show a clear price surge in cities like Berlin, which saw a 10.01%rise, and the central wards of Tokyo, where investors have achieved a 13% return so far this year. In addition, growing rental demand in cities like Brisbane means that investors can expect a yield of 5.4% per year. Supported by the strong British pound against the Euro and Japanese Yen, UK investors can not only obtain far more favourable purchase prices but also secure a continued income. Domestically, London and most recently, Manchester, are leading the way, according to the report, with prices in Greater London increasing by 12% in the last year. In Manchester, a new property is still valued at less than half the average seen in London, however, prices are expected to rise to close this gap, with new projections putting Manchester price growth at a strong 26.4% up to 2019. With these new found freedoms, there has been a sharp rise in demand from pensioners for experienced and qualified advice on what retirees can do with their savings as they decide how to make use of their pension pot. Continue reading
European commercial property investment market seen as attractive
The European commercial property investment market enjoyed a strong end to 2014, according to the latest quarterly report from Knight Frank. It says that the outlook for 2015 has been boosted by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) announcement in January of a programme of quantitative easing which will help to maintain the attractive yield premiums offered by property over government bonds. Overall a total of €57.9 billion was invested in European commercial property in the fourth quarter of 2014, making this the strongest quarter since the second quarter of 2007 and investment volumes for the whole of 2014 came to €177.6 billion, 21% up on 2013. The firm says that investors have continued to show an increased appetite for risk, targeting a wide variety of non-core locations and sectors. Investment volumes increased strongly in Spain, Ireland, the Netherlands and the UK regions throughout 2014, while the Portuguese investment market finally revived in the final quarter of the year, having been one of the last of the peripheral markets to show signs of recovery. The report explains that the current strength of the investment market comes in spite of more modest and varied trends in European occupier markets. In 2014, office take up increased in markets such as London, Paris and Berlin, but fell in Frankfurt, Vienna and Moscow. However, the Knight Frank European Prime Office Rental Index rose by a modest 0.8% in the fourth quarter with London, Dublin and Lisbon being the only major markets to record increases in prime office rents. ‘The European investment market has continued to gain remarkable momentum. We expect 2015 to be another strong year, bolstered by the ECB’s QE programme,’ said Matthew Colbourne, international research associate at Knight Frank. ‘By leading to falls in European government bond yields, the QE announcement has further widened the spreads between property and bond yields. It will help to preserve the attractiveness of property as an asset class in 2015 and beyond,’ he added. Continue reading
