Tag Archives: autumn

UK seeing a crisis in private rented sector due to tumble in landlord confidence

Landlords’ confidence in the buy to let sector in the UK has collapsed to an all-time low and is now worse than levels witnessed during the financial crash, according to the country’s biggest landlord association. Richard Lambert, chief executive officer of the National Landlords Association (NLA), told delegates at the Building Societies Association’s (BSA) annual meeting for mortgage professionals that the situation is worrying. He explained that confidence in landlords’ business expectations has tumbled by more than a third over the past year, down from 67% to an all-time low of 43% and the current level of confidence in the sector is now 5% lower than levels witnessed after the financial crash in 2007. He pointed out that the actions taken by the Chancellor in last year’s Summer Budget and Autumn Statements has led the NLA to reverse its previous prediction of the continued growth of the private rented sector (PRS) by another million more households over the next five years. It now forecasts that, if landlords follow through on their intentions, there will be a dramatic sell-off of 500,000 properties in the next 12 months, followed by another 100,000 sold each year to 2021. The net effect will be that the PRS be smaller by up to 136,000 properties. The data, from the latest NLA quarterly landlord panel survey, also shows that the proportion of landlords looking to sell in next 12 months has more than doubled since July 2015, up from 7% to 19%. Over the next few years some 28% of landlords don’t plan purchase any more properties, 10% plan to reduce their portfolio and 5% plan to sell up completely. ‘Two speeches from the Chancellor in 2015 have led to a crisis in confidence greater than when all but a few buy to le products were immediately withdrawn from the market following the 2007 financial crash,’ Lambert said. ‘Up to half a million properties could come onto the market as a result of the Summer Budget and Autumn Statement, which the Chancellor will no doubt deem a success. But there is no guarantee that these will be the one or two bedroom flats or small houses that will appeal to first time buyers, especially as landlords are more likely to offload less desirable stock in less desirable areas,’ he explained. ‘We’ve always said that Mr Osborne is blinded to the impact of his decisions by his commitment to homeownership. He may have intended to focus on the small scale part time investor, but it’s the larger and more professional landlords who will be hit worst by cuts to mortgage tax relief and increases to stamp duty, and who appear most likely to leave the sector,’ Lambert told the meeting. ‘What happens to the people these landlords house if they still can’t buy and there are fewer and fewer properties available to rent?’ he added. Continue reading

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Prime property markets in key UK towns set to see continued demand

Price growth for prime properties in key urban markets in the UK is likely to continue this year, driven by growing demand among buyers, new research suggests. In particular demand for properties in key town and city locations such as Oxford, Bath, Bristol and Cheltenham with access to good schools, transport links and amenities is expected to be high. They are attractive to buyers from London, including commuters, as infrastructure improvements make them and their amenities more accessible, according to the research from real estate firm Knight Frank. These include the electrification of the Great Western rail line to London from Bristol and Bath and the new Oxford Parkway railway station just opened to the north of the city. Annual price growth for prime properties in the Oxford city market eased to 1.3% in 2015, but the research suggests that as Oxford’s economy is diverse, led by IT, high tech manufacturing and publishing and the city’s hospitals and two universities are major employers, demand from local buyers is ever present. ‘Activity is expected to remain strong in early 2016, especially as some buyers look to complete purchases ahead of the introduction of new stamp duty rules which have the potential to impact a small section of the market,’ the report says. The report points out that annual price growth for prime properties in the Bath city market was 4.5% in 2015, compared to a 3.1% rise across the wider prime country market and this outperformance reflects the continued demand among buyers for prime properties in city centre locations. Bath is an international tourist destination home to a wealth of museums, Georgian streets and other attractions that mark it out as a desirable place to live and visit, including a compact city centre with a good retail offering. This was underlined by a 6% rise in the number of potential buyers registering their interest in purchasing a home in Bath through Knight Frank year on year, a 15% jump in sales volumes over the same period and a 43% increase in the number of people searching for homes in Bath on Knight Frank’s website. A number of these individuals were relocating or looking to relocate from the capital. Knight Frank data shows that outside of the Home Counties, Bath along with Oxford was the most popular location for Londoners looking to move in 2015. ‘The prospect of more regular services between Bath and London from 2017 as a result of improvements being made to both the track and the trains will make commuting an even more viable option,’ the report explains. Property prices in Bristol rose by 6.6% in 2015 driven by the growing trend among buyers for properties in key town and city markets with access to good schools, transport links and amenities and a lack of available properties for sale has been the biggest driver of the market in Bristol over the last year, according to the report. Stock levels were at… Continue reading

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Details of extra tax on UK buy to let and second homes unlikely before mid-March

The final details of how the extra stamp duty on buy to let and second home purchases will work will not be known until a couple of weeks before the new tax rate comes into effect in April this year. The government’s consultation period on the proposal for a 3% tax on these kind of property transactions runs until 01 February and officials will then consider the responses and are expected to confirm the final details on the annual Budget announcement on 16 March. The proposal is that the extra rate will apply to most purchases of additional residential properties where, at the end of the day of the sale, individual buyers own two or more residential properties and are not replacing their main residence. The higher rates will also generally apply to purchases of residential property by companies. It would seem that the 3% rate will not apply if at the end of the day of the sale an individual owns only one residential property, irrespective of the intended use of that property. However if following the transaction the individual owns two or more residential properties, the applicability of the additional rate will depend on whether the purchaser is replacing their main residence. Liam Bailey, global head of residential research at real estate firm Knight Frank, has pointed out that while the consultation assumes that most people will buy a new main residence on the same day as they sell their previous one, there will be an allowance for purchasers to have up to 18 months to replace a main residence following an earlier sale. Also where an individual sells their previous main residence after purchasing a new main residence, a refund of the higher rate could be claimed with the window for this refund limited to 18 months after the purchase of the new residence, he explained. He also said that it would appear that the location of additional properties will be global, so the ownership of a property in France for example, will be relevant. Also, the new rate will apply if the purchase is completed on or after 01 April 2016. However, if contracts were exchanged on or before 25 November 2015 but not completed until on or after 1 April 2016, the higher rate will not apply. The details will be important as there are a number of scenarios that could play out, for example parents buying a property for their children, joint purchases between friends and partnerships. Stephen Barratt, private client tax director at accountants and business advisers James Cowper Kreston, believes that the proposed legislation will create uncertainty, introduce many anomalies and take a long time to fully bed down. 'The fact that the new rules are intended to apply to completions on or after 01 April 2016 will mean that many purchasers will be exchanging contracts now without knowing what the final rules will be. This will create uncertainty,' he warned. 'The additional 3% rate is intended… Continue reading

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