Tag Archives: australian

Australian housing market weaker outside of larges cities, latest index suggests

Residential property values across Australia’s capital cities increased by 1% over the month of October, according to the latest RP Data CoreLogic index. The data highlights that despite a slowdown in growth in September, values continued to rise, increasing by 2.2% over the past three months. Although combined capital city home values were up by 1% not all cities saw increases. Only Sydney with an increase of 1.3%, Melbourne up 1.9% and Brisbane at 0.6% actually recorded value rises over the month. According to Tim Lawless, head of research, this result highlights weaker housing market conditions outside of Australia’s largest cities. Looking over the past three months Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide, which happen to be four of the five largest capital cities, were the only capital cities to record an increase in home values. Sydney leads the growth with home values increasing at a rate of more than 1% a month, up 3.9% over the past three months. Lawless said that Perth and Canberra have clearly moved through the peak of their growth cycles. However, the greatest value falls over the last three months were recorded in Hobart with a decline of 2.8% and Canberra where values were down 2.4%. ‘Looking at the increase in home values over the 12 months to October, it is clear that the rate of capital growth is continuing to moderate. Despite the annual rate of value growth slowing, all capital cities have still recorded an increase in home values over the past year,’ said Lawless, He pointed out that home values across the combined capital cities have increased by 8.9% over the 12 months ending October 2014, which has slowed from a peak of 11.5% in April of this year. Sydney, and to a lesser degree Melbourne, continued to be the main drivers of the increase in home values. Over the past year, Sydney home values were 13.1% higher, while Melbourne values were up 8.9%. Brisbane was the third best performing capital city for value growth over the year with values up 5.6% followed by Darwin where values rose by 5%. Elsewhere, value growth was more subdued with increases of 3.4% in Perth, 4.3% in Adelaide, 4.4% in Hobart and 0.9% in Canberra. ‘Despite the fact that the annual increase in home values is slowing, other indicators remain strong,’ added Lawless. Auction clearance rates continued to hover around the 70% mark week to week while volumes across RP Data real estate agent and valuation platforms remained strong which is indicative of heightened levels of industry and mortgage market activity. The number of new properties listed for sale continues to rise as are total listing numbers. However, Lawless said that the fairly rapid rate of sale is resulting in a slower increase in total listings than new listings. Conditions across capital city rental markets remained subdued, with weekly rents rising by only 1.8% over the past 12 months, the lowest annual change in capital city rents since the year ending August 2003. According to Lawless, the consistent… Continue reading

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Outlook for new home construction in Australia expected to be strong

The new homes market in Australia is expected to be healthy in the coming year with land sales up, especially in regional areas. Quarterly residential land sales held up at reasonably elevated levels throughout 2013/2014, with 10% growth, according to the latest HIA-RP Data Residential Land Report provided by the Housing Industry Association. HIA chief economist Harley Dale explained that the June quarter was particularly with residential land sales up by 8.4%. ‘Both capital city and regional land markets experienced higher turnover during the June 2014 quarter. Growth was stronger in the aggregate regional land markets, up 13% compared to a 5.5% rise for Australia’s six state capitals,’ he said. ‘Consistent with signals from other housing indicators, the geographical recovery in residential land sales is broadening. That is an encouraging sign for detached and semi-detached dwelling construction in 2014/2015,’ he added. However, he pointed out that there is still a wide variation in the trajectory of residential land values around Australia this cycle, within which growth in the weighted median price for capital cities well out-paces that for regional Australia. ‘Over the longer time frame of the past fifteen years there has been a substantial increase in residential land values, which cannot be repeated if the nation is to succeed in adequately housing its growing and ageing population. Land supply remains a policy area that requires much greater focus, and not just at a state level,’ Dale said. In the June 2014 quarter the weighted median price of residential land increased by 1.1% to $205,330, only the third time the value has exceeded the $200,000 threshold. Capital city land prices increased by 1.8% in the quarter to be up by 7.4% compared to the June 2013 quarter. Land prices in regional Australia were essentially flat in the June 2014 quarter, easing by 0.1% but up by 4.1% in annual terms. According to RP Data research director, Tim Lawless, the bounce back after a softer March quarter result suggests there may still be some life left in the residential land sector. ‘This is the strongest result since the June quarter of 2013 which is welcome news. A rise in land sales implies a rise in detached housing construction about six months down the track which in turn provides a substantial multiplier for the Australian economy; more jobs, more building materials, home furnishings, appliances and white good sales,’ said Lawless. ‘Whether this quarterly improvement can develop into a trend is yet to be seen. Despite the June quarter lift, the previous three quarters were showing a slowdown in the number of sales while vacant land prices continued to rise, a trend which may point to ongoing supply shortages of well-located vacant land,’ he added. Continue reading

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Australia’s office market recovers with strong growth in 3,000 square meter sector

Strong demand for 3,000 square meter plus office space is driving healthy activity and growth across Australia’s office sector as the market looks towards 2015, according to new figures. The Colliers International Office Demand Index quarter three report has recorded a 51% increase in enquiry for office space nationally at 626,237square meters, compared to the September 2013 quarter figure of 413,538 square meters. According to Simon Hunt, Colliers International managing director of Office Leasing, the growth in office demand, a barometer for the state of the market, was being driven by enquiries within the 3,000 square meter plus market, which increased 126% from only 147,301 square meters in the September 2013 quarter to 332,500 square meters this year. Some 47% of all enquiries recorded for September year to date was for 3,000 square meters or more. Breaking the figures down further shows the greatest spike in demand for office was in Sydney where space enquired for more than doubled from 102,486 square meters in the third quarter of 2013 to 235,660 square meters in the third quarter of 2014, an increase of 130%. ‘These Sydney numbers have been driven by a significant rise in demand for office space in the above 3,000 square meter market where only 29,601 square meter was enquired for in the third quarter of 2013 compared to 114,800 square meters in the third quarter of this year,’ said Hunt. Demand for office space also doubled in Canberra, with 112,600 square meters in the third quarter of 2014 compared to 58,090 square meters in the third quarter of 2013, again driven by enquiry in the 3,000 square meter plus market. The Office Demand Index also recorded positive signs of increases in demand in Adelaide, up from 29,251 square meters in the third quarter of 2013 to 49,920 in the third meter of 2014 and Brisbane, which rose, quarter on quarter, from 47,095 square meters to 53,687square meters. Enquiry in Melbourne was down from 166,785 square meters in the third quarter of 2013 to 150,851 square meters in the third quarter of 2014, primarily driven by increased activity at the smaller end of the market, where 65,063 square meters was recorded in the under 1,000 square meter market in the third quarter of 2013 compared to only 51,001 square meters In the third quarter of 2014. The over 3,000 square meter market, however, saw an increase from 53,500 square meters in the third quarter of 2013 to 61,700 square meters in the third quarter of 2014. Hunt said the growing enquiry levels nationally for space over 3,000 square meters pointed to a strong period of business expansion driven by white collar employment growth in the corporate sector. White collar employment growth was set to be strongest in the Financial Services, IT, Communications and Healthcare sectors, with national forecasts indicating that over 10,000 new jobs would be created in these sectors in 2015. It was anticipated that the mining, government and manufacturing sectors would have slightly weaker… Continue reading

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