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Commercial property rents in London saw average growth of 8.5% in 2015
Growth in commercial property rents across London fuelled average total return of 18.1% from investments in the capital during 2015, new research shows. The London markets analysis report by Levy Real Estate and MSCI examined more than £30 billion of assets across 20 key submarkets and found that rental growth increased year on year from 7.8% in 2014 to an average uplift of 8.5% last year. The strongest rental growth was registered by the Camden/King’s Cross submarket where the continued success of the King’s Cross Central development saw the prevailing level of rents grow on average by 17%. High occupier demand and a lack of space in other submarkets is also driving rents, the report says, adding that Mayfair, for example, where the continued conversion of office property to residential has limited the supply of new space saw rental growth of 11.9% last year. ‘The latest research shows a market which still has significant momentum. Returns are now increasingly being driven by a growth in rents and this suggests that London’s commercial property investment sector can expect further sustainable growth in values,’ said Levy Real Estate Investment Partner, Simon Heilpern The progressive rents in and around King’s Cross also meant that the Camden/King’s Cross showed the highest total return for a single submarket of 27.3%. It was followed in the total return rankings by the Eastern Fringe at 24.7% and Marylebone and Euston at 23.1%. Overall, Mayfair retained its position as the submarket with the most keenly valued property: the average equivalent yield for its property was just 3.7%. The area has also seen a continued conversion of office property to residential which has contributed to an upward shift in rents, the report points out. The biggest inward yield shift during 2015 was in the Western Fringe locations of Clerkenwell, Smithfield and Farringdon where average equivalent yields moved in 80 basis points to 5.2%. However, the general picture is a slowing down in yield shift which illustrates the growing importance of rental growth. ‘The London investment market had another good year in 2015, with strong returns on the back of healthy rental value growth across the commercial property market. As in 2014, fringe markets outperformed last year with locations such as Camden/King’s Cross and the Eastern Fringe remaining attractive to both occupiers and investors,’ said Colm Lauder, MSCI vice president. ‘Pricing in the London market also strengthened further during the course of 2015, but the rate of yield compression has slowed as key market locations begin to reach record yield levels which question price fundamentals,’ he explained. ‘This has resulted in rental growth taking over as the main performance driver, as confident, and expansionary, businesses compete for space,’ he added. Continue reading
Christchurch housing market well on way to recovery following earthquakes five years ago
Five years after earthquakes devastate the New Zealand city of Christchurch it has been announced that housing is now on track for a full recovery. Housing has been one of the most complex and challenging problems in the aftermath of the disasters that struck in 2010, according to housing officials and ministers but they added that the Government’s wide ranging support as ensured the city’s housing market is nearing recovery five years. ‘The Government has taken a step by step approach and officials project that by June 2017, the Christchurch housing market will be fully recovered with supply and demand back in balance,’ said Building and Housing Minister Nick Smith. The Government’s housing initiatives in Christchurch since the earthquakes include the Establishment of the Canterbury Earthquake Temporary Accommodation Service (CETAS), which has helped nearly 6500 households find temporary accommodation. Temporary accommodation financial assistance of over $55 million was provided to over 3,200 households and the Residential Advisory Service has helped over 3,288 residential property owners progress their repair, rebuild, and resettlement process. Over 1,000 were put in temporary accommodation, some 27,000 emergency repairs carried out on Housing New Zealand homes, and some $31 million in grants provided for social and affordable housing in Canterbury. ‘As some of the most vulnerable residents, social housing tenants were particularly hard hit by the earthquakes. Housing New Zealand’s effort fixing its houses was staggering, spending $350 million repairing over 5,100 properties,’ said Social Housing Minister Paula Bennett. Smith said that the strongest evidence of the successful recovery of Christchurch’s housing market is the latest data on rents and house prices. House prices rose by up to 13% per year following the earthquakes but grew last year by 2.7% and are now back below the national average. Rents were growing at up to 16% per year following the earthquakes but have been declining since October 2014 and in the past year, have dropped by 6%. ‘Housing was one of the biggest post-quake challenges facing Christchurch, but a concerted effort by the community, building sector, council and Government has enabled us to recover as quickly as practically possible,’ he explained. ‘With the completion of projects in the pipeline, Christchurch will have, by 2017, the safest and warmest stock of private, state and community housing in the country,’ he added. Continue reading
Cost of housing in UK means more young people still living with their parents
Affordability issues mean that more young adults aged 20 to 34 in the UK are more likely to be sharing a home with their parents than any time since 1996, new research shows. There were 618,000 more young adults living with their parents in 2015 than in 1996 at 3.3 million compared with 2.7 million, according to the data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS). Nearly half of 20 to 24 year olds lived with their parents in 2015, compared with a fifth of 25 to 29 year olds. For 30 to 34 year olds, this figure was less than one in 10. The research shows that the percentage of young adult householders owning their home decreased from 55% in 1996 to 30% in 2015 for 25 to 29 year olds and from 68% to 46% for 30 to 34 year olds. The percentage of 25 to 34 year old householders renting their home has surpassed those who own their homes over the last decade. There has been a noticeable increase in renting since the early 2000s and the ONS says that this may be due to increased demand for rented housing as house prices increase and an increased supply of privately rented housing from a growing number of buy to let investors. The increase in renting has been largest for householders who are aged 20 to 24. In 2015 some 91% of householders aged 20 to 24 were living in rented accommodation; this is higher than all other age groups. Only 9% of 20 to 24 year old householders owned their homes either outright or with a mortgage or loan in 2015, down from 30% in 1996. Saving for a deposit is often seen as one of the biggest hurdles to home ownership and the report says that first time buyers’ deposits have increased from around 10% of the purchase price in 1996, to a peak of 27% in 2009. This was the height of the economic downturn, when mortgage lenders placed greater restrictions on the mortgage lending criteria used to assess applicants’ ability to afford a home loan. In recent years the size of deposits paid has fallen slightly but remained above 20% of the purchase price on average. The size of deposits paid by first time buyers has risen more than deposits paid by existing home owners. This is because prospective first time buyers who have smaller deposits saved were less likely to be approved for a mortgage, and therefore less likely to buy a home. That left only those with larger deposits who did buy their first home, which in turn pushed up the average deposit paid. Between 1971 and 1999, the amount paid for a house by first time buyers with a mortgage fluctuated between two and three times their annual income. After 2000, this ratio increased rapidly, driven by increasing house prices , reaching a peak of more than 4.5 times their annual income in 2004 and… Continue reading
