Tag Archives: australia
Home renovations sector in Australia seeing a slow recovery, says new report
The home renovations sector in Australia is being held up and frustrated by the hesitant pace of the current real estate market, according to a new report. The comprehensive review of the country’s renovations market from the Housing Industry Association shows that the current recovery has been slow since the slump in activity between 2011 and 2013. Indeed, the hesitant pace of the current recovery is mainly due to patchy consumer sentiment and challenging labour market conditions in several states, according to HIA senior economist Shane Garrett. . ‘Dwelling price growth is also pretty unspectacular in a number of important markets,’ he said, adding that there is considerable geographic variation. The report says that demand for renovations in New South Wales has been greatly boosted by the strength of prices. Many Sydney households that had been planning on moving house find that it is now much more affordable to undertake a major renovations job instead. ‘Australia’s home renovations market is a major strand of consumer spending and will be worth just under $30 billion this year. Its labour intensive nature means that it has substantially positive knock-on effects for employment,’ said Garrett. ‘Over the coming years, the modest recovery will continue. This will be spurred on by very favourable interest rate settings as well as improvements in economic growth and the labour market over the medium term. However, the recent tightening of mortgage credit conditions casts an unwelcome shadow,’ he explained. The Spring 2015 edition of the HIA’s Renovations Roundup projects that renovations activity will increase by 3.9% this year with a slight 0.4% increase forecast for 2016. The HIA is forecasting that activity will grow by 0. Continue reading
NZ prices up year on year but down month on month, latest index shows
Residential property sales in New Zealand increase by 18.6% year on year in October but where down 4.1% compared to the previous month, according to the latest index figures. The national median price was $460,000, up $30,000 or 7% on October 2014 and down 5.1% on September, the data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand shows. Excluding the impact of the Auckland region, the national median price rose $28,500 to $370,000 compared to October 2014 to reach a new record high and rose 1.4% on September. There was a new record national median price excluding Auckland of $370,000, up 8.4% compared to October 2014 and up 1.4% on September and new record median prices for Northland, Manawatu/Wanganui, Wellington and Nelson/Marlborough. But the market paused in Auckland with a year on year rise of 16.8% with month on month median prices down by 3%. The data also show that there was a 57% rise nationwide in the number of sales over $1 million year on year and a 47% rise in the number of properties sold by auction. ‘The drop in the number of sales in Auckland in October is the result of a softening of demand over the past few months and the new IRD and bank account rules introduced at the start of October,’ said REINZ chief executive Colleen Milne. ‘However, the fundamental supply and demand drivers of the Auckland market remain in place, and the result for October is indicative of the market adjustment phase as it adapts to these new requirements,’ she explained. ‘Elsewhere across the country we are seeing increasing demand and rising prices as buyers of all types emerge to take advantage of low interest rates. It is further evidence of the halo effect of Auckland based buyers searching for value in regional markets,’ she pointed out. ‘During winter and into early spring, the property markets in a number of regions have been far more active than would normally be expected, thus a slowdown or pause is not surprising following this burst of activity,’ she added. Overall 10 regions recorded increased sales volumes compared to September, with Central Otago Lakes volumes growing 31%, followed by Southland with 21% and Canterbury/Westland, 15%. Compared to October 2014, all regions recorded increases in sales volume, with Waikato/Bay of Plenty recording the largest increase of 54%, followed by Hawke’s Bay with 52% and Central Otago Lakes with 50%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the national median house price fell 5.5%, indicating that prices fell slightly more in October than would normally be expected at this time of year. Northland, Manawatu/Wanganui, Wellington and Nelson/Marlborough all reached new record median prices in October. Northland recorded the largest percentage increase in median price compared to October 2014, at 18%, followed by Auckland at 17% and Taranaki at 12%. Hawke’s Bay recorded the largest percentage increase in median price compared to September, with a 9% increase, followed by Northland with 7% and Nelson/Marlborough with 5%. Continue reading
High loan to value lending declining in overall UK mortgage market
The UK government’s Help to Buy scheme is boosting lending to first time buyers but high loan to value lending activity has fallen year on year, new data shows. Overall 95% LTV mortgage almost doubled under Help to Buy in the first 18 months of the scheme from January 2014 to June 2015 making up £3.43 of every £100 worth of mortgage lending, according to research from private mortgage insurer Genworth. This was up from £1.77 in the previous 18 months as more options have appeared for home owners with smaller deposits. However first time buyer and 95% LTV lending activity fell year on year in the second quarter of the year, marking the second quarterly decline in a row, the first time this has happened since 2010/2011 Total mortgage lending across the whole market grew by £48.2 billion which means that as the mortgage market has grown during this period, £12.24 of every extra £100 lent has been via 95% LTV mortgages. Genworth’s analysis shows that first time buyers account for almost £21 in every £100 lent during the first half of the Help to Buy 2 (HTB2) scheme compared with £19.33 in the previous 18 months. This compares with just £11.41 per £100 in 2007/2008 and highlights how the scheme has played an important role in encouraging first time buyer lending. The growth in 95% LTV is an encouraging sign for a sector that was hit hard by tightening credit conditions during the recession, exacerbating the challenges of raising a big enough deposit to buy a home. But the report suggests that concerns linger for long term health of the 95% LTV market. Both 95% LTV lending and first time buyer lending declined by value year on year during the second quarter of 2015 for a second successive quarter. This is the first time this has happened for two consecutive quarters since the lending drought from the fourth quarter of 2010 to the third quarter of 2011. It contrasts with the substantial growth achieved when Help to Buy was first introduced, and raises doubts about how well activity will fare when it is withdrawn at the end of 2016, particularly with expectations that historically low interest rates will finally start to rise next year, raising costs for borrowers. ‘There is no denying that Help to Buy has played an important part in revitalising the first time buyer and high LTV mortgage market following a significant lending drought. Some participating lenders are now moving towards launching non-HTB2 products, but it remains to be seen whether this will be enough to sustain the benefits of the scheme once it expires,’ said Simon Crone, vice president for mortgage insurance Europe at Genworth. ‘We are potentially facing a situation where the high LTV market could easily fall back into decline with the end of Help to Buy now just over a year away. Even… Continue reading
