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Irish property prices up 8% year on year but start of 2016 sees growth slowing
Residential property prices in Ireland increased by 8% in the year to February 2016, up from 7.6% in January and an increase of 14.9% recorded in the 12 months to February 2015. The data from the Central Statistics Office also shows, however, that month on month ere was no change in prices compared with a decrease of 0.5% recorded in January and a decrease of 0.4% recorded in February of last year. A breakdown of the figures show that in Dublin prices decreased by 0.1% in February and were 4% higher than a year ago. House prices decreased by 0.3% in the month and were 4% higher compared to a year earlier while apartment prices were 4.3% higher when compared with the same month of 2015. Property prices in the Rest of Ireland rose by 0.1% in February compared with no change in February of last year and were 11.5% higher than in February 2015. It means that house prices in Dublin are 35.1% lower than at their highest level in early 2007 and apartment prices are 40.9% lower than they were in February 2007. Prices in the rest of Ireland are 35.2% lower than their highest level in September 2007 and overall the national index is 33.8% lower than its highest level in 2007. Meanwhile, the latest data from Myhome.ie shows that house prices continued to rise in the first quarter of 2016 but the rate of increase has moderated. The national mix adjusted asking price measure rose by 2.2%, in the first three months, up 5.7% year on year while in Dublin asking prices were up 2.5% and 12.7% respectively. According to the survey the mix adjusted asking price for a house nationally is €198,000 while in Dublin it is €276,000. For new instructions the median price in Dublin has risen 1.4% in the first quarter to €299,000 while outside Dublin the figure has risen 6.3% to €169,000. The author of the report, economist Conall MacCoille from Davy, said the moderation in house price inflation was a positive development and did not mark a period of sustained declines. ‘A mix of factors probably explains the recent moderation in house price growth. First of all affordability was becoming stretched in Dublin. Secondly the Central Bank’s new lending rules may have reined in exuberant price expectations. Thirdly the end of capital gains tax exemptions may have inflated demand mid-year, leading to price falls towards the end of last year,’ he explained. The affordability index shows that house price to income ratio is highest in Dublin and Mid Leinster at 5.9 and 4.9 respectively while the midlands at 2.8 and the mid-west at 3.4 looks most affordable. MacCoille explained that the figure for the country as a whole is five and although Irish property prices are still well below 2007 peak levels, they no longer look cheap relative to incomes he said and he believes that population increases and supply constraints will… Continue reading
New planning guidance for central London published by the Mayor
Protecting London's vibrant commercial heartland and ensuring it can remain a key driver of the UK economy for decades to come is the focus of major new planning guidance published by the Mayor of London, Boris Johnson MP today. The Mayor of London has published major new planning guidance aimed at protecting the city’s vibrant commercial heart which is a key driver of the UK economy. The Central Activities Zone, running from Kensington Gardens and Paddington in the west, to Aldgate in the east, and from Kings Cross and Euston in the north to Elephant and Castle and the Battersea Power Station in the south, is regarded as the economic and administrative epicentre of London. The area, which is approximately 13 square miles in size, employs more than 1.7 million people and boasts outstanding heritage, shopping and culture and attracts millions of visitors every year. It generates almost 10% of the UK's economic output and is also home to more than 230,000 people. However, in recent years, some valuable office space in the area has been lost to new housing in a move that if continued could threaten the capital's economic pre-eminence. But the Mayor believes that the demand to create new homes in London does not need to be at the expense of the business, culture and other key functions of the zone. ‘The heart of the capital is the foundation of London's reputation as best city in the world in which to do business. While we continue to do all we can to increase housing supply city-wide, it is also vital that we protect our office space so central London continues to be a key generator of economic prosperity for the entire country,’ said Mayor Boris Johnson. Highlights of the new Central Activities Zone Supplementary Planning Guidance, which is aimed at planners, developers and local authorities include working to address the recent tension in central London between residential and office space. The Government recently announced that from May 2019 it will allow office space in central London to be converted into homes without developers applying for change of use planning permission. This will replace an exemption that the Mayor negotiated in 2014 that has protected London's core office space. The Mayor is working closely with London's local authorities to bring forward special planning regulations known as Article 4 directions so that they can continue determining planning applications for the change of use. This will ensure that London's commercial heartlands will be protected from planning changes. For the first time ever, detailed guidance states that new residential development is not appropriate in the commercial core of the City of London and northern Isle of Dogs. The guidance also includes more stringent criteria to guide applications across all of central London which would lead to the loss of offices. It pinpoints geographical parts of central London where commercial use should be given priority over new residential developments. This includes substantial areas such… Continue reading
Data confirms buy to let surge in UK ahead of stamp duty change
The UK’s buy to let sector has seen a surge of activity as property investors have rushed to complete their transactions before the new Stamp Duty surcharge comes into force next month. In February the number of buy to let valuations carried out increased by 34% compared to the same month last year. Meanwhile, remortgaging activity, which includes buy to let remortgaging activity, was up 41% over the same period. In addition, buy to let activity saw a month on month increase of 25%, while remortgaging volumes climbed 6% in February compared to the previous month, largely driven by buy to let remortgaging, according to the data from Connells Survey & Valuation. It confirms a lot of anecdotal evidence that the extra 3% Stamp Duty surcharge on second homes or buy to let properties due to take effect on sales completed after 01 April 2016 has resulted in increased demand from buy to let investors. ‘Buy to let investors and those remortgaging with the aim of buying a second home are racing against the clock. Activity from both these groups is picking up pace on a monthly basis as the April Stamp Duty deadline looms and people hurry to complete their transactions before being hit by the 3% surcharge on their buy to let property or second home,’ said John Bagshaw, corporate services director of Connells Survey & Valuation. ‘Expect this activity to reach a crescendo in March before calming in the second quarter of the year. Buy to let investors will be calculating the impact the Stamp Duty hike is having on their rental yields, while those thinking of remortgaging to fund a second home will weigh up whether it’s still financially viable for them to do so,’ he explained. ‘But behind these somewhat frantic figures there is an underlying story of steady, long term growth. Despite taking some political heat recently, the buy to let market continues to attract investment off the back of its potential returns, while the remortgaging sector remains popular with those looking to get a better mortgage or release capital on their home for investment purposes,’ he added. In addition, the home mover and first time buyer sectors have experienced strong monthly rises in valuation activity. The number of valuations carried out for first time buyers surged by 36% between January and February 2016, while those carried out for home movers grew by 35% over the same period. Activity for both these sectors was steadier on an annual basis. Those taking their first step onto the property ladder in February reported a 9% increase compared to January and home movers experienced an 8% uptick on the same month on month basis. ‘Home movers are confident the strong but steady property price rises which typified 2015 are set to continue, and so feel confident that their home’s value will hold them in good stead as they endeavor to move up the ladder,’ said Bagshaw. ‘Meanwhile, first time buyers, whose personal… Continue reading
