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House price growth slowing in Spain, but headline figures mask regional differences

Although generally the housing market in Spain is perceived as recovering well there are signs of growth slowing, according to some of the latest figures to be published. Residential prices grew by 1.3% in May and by 1.5% in the first five months of the year, but this is lower than the 1.9% registered up until the end of April. The data from the latest index property appraisers, Tinsa, also shows that the average price of a property in Spain is still down 41.4% since 2007. However, the national figures hide signs of real growth in some sectors and locations. For example, prices in capitals and large cities as well as in the Balearic and Canary Islands were up 3.5% year on year in May. On the Mediterranean Coast prices increased by 1.6% and metropolitan areas saw smaller annual growth at 0.7%. But in the rest of the municipalities category prices have been falling, down 2.5%. But even the breakdown of the figures shows there are signs of slowing growth. Since the beginning of 2016 average prices on the Mediterranean Coast remained at the same level as the beginning of the year but were up 1.3% in the capitals and large cities and the metropolitan areas. In the first five months of the year the rest of the municipalities category saw growth of 1.5%, and the Balearic and Canary Islands have seen the strongest price growth at 4.2%. Meanwhile, the latest asking price index from property portal Fotocasa shows that sellers reduced their price expectations by an average of 0.7% in April compared to a year ago. The average asking price in April was €1,624 per square meter, down by 0.2% month on month but overall the index has been stable for 12 months now with prices never varying more than 1% either up or down. Beatriz Toribio, head of research at Fotocasa, believes that house prices will continue to go in different directions during 2016. ‘Whilst in some areas of the country prices are stabilising or even rising, in others they continue to fall hard. This is a consequence of the crisis the sector has lived through, which has left a market of two or more speeds,’ she explained. Official figures released by the Government also suggest a slowing in recent months. It says that year on year prices have increased by 2.4% but by only 0.2% in the first quarter of 2016. A breakdown of the figures show that house prices rose the most in the Balearics with growth of 9.6%, followed by Catalonia up 4.9%, Madrid up 4.2%, Extremadura up 3.7%, Galicia up 2.6%, the Valencian region up 2.4%, and the Canaries also up 2.4%. Continue reading

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Demand for rental properties in UK increased in first quarter of 2016

Despite attempts by the UK Government to dampen the buy to let market and stimulate home buying, the first quarter of 2016 saw demand for properties to rent continue to rise, new research shows. The number of landlords reporting tenant demand as either increasing slightly or significantly stood at 39%, up from 34% in the fourth quarter of 2015. A further 36% of landlords described tenant demand as being stable. According to the latest survey by BDRC Continental for Paragon Mortgages, the sector is also witnessing high levels of tenant satisfaction. Some 79% tenants surveyed said they are satisfied with their current landlord. The research also found that 85% of tenants consider their current rental property to be their home and 69% believe the level of rent they pay to be good or very good value for money. Reflecting the changing balance in housing tenure, the average length of time tenants are spending in their current properties now stands at nearly seven years. The average length of time spent in the Private Rented Sector (PRS) in total was reported to be nearly 13 years. Landlords also agree that the PRS plays an increasingly important role in housing the UK. With the social housing sector having lost around one million homes since 1991, some 78% of landlords polled agreed the PRS compensates to some extent for the decline of the social housing sector. An overwhelming majority, 89%, of landlords also stated the PRS has an important role to play in accommodating those who are priced out of home ownership, while 74% agreed the PRS plays a role in accommodating those excluded from social housing by dwindling supply. ‘The rise of the PRS and the decline of the social housing sector have been the predominant trends in the UK’s changing housing tenure over the last 20 years. This data gives an interesting insight into how both tenants and landlords perceive these trends,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘It’s good to see tenant satisfaction at such high levels. The sector often suffers from negative PR and the good work done by the vast majority of landlords to provide homes for those who cannot or do not want to buy goes unremarked,’ he explained. ‘This survey clearly demonstrates that the PRS is increasingly providing longer term solutions in housing and that responsible and professional landlords are supporting the provision of housing to those that rely on the PRS for their home,’ he added. Continue reading

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Rents remained unchanged in capital cities in Australia in May

Overall rental prices in Australian capital cities were unchanged in May but rates fell everywhere apart from Melbourne and Hobart, the latest index shows. Weekly rents were unchanged but year on year they were down 0.3% taking the average rate to $489 a week for houses and $469 a week for units, according to the data from the CoreLogic Rent Review report. The firm’s research analyst Cameron Kusher expects that the weakness in the rental market will persist and on an annual basis rents will fall further over the coming months. The data also shows that over the 12 months to May several capital cities saw a rise in rents. In Sydney they increased by 0.9%, in Melbourne by 2.3%, in Hobart by 3.7% and in Canberra by 0.1%. But falling rents pulled the combined capital average lower with a drop in Perth of 8.8%, a fall of 16.9% in Darwin, and down 0.9% in Brisbane and Adelaide 0.9% year on year. ‘Since we started tracking annual rent changes back in 1996, the May 2016 results represent the lowest annual change on record. The rental market slowdown has been rapid over the past year with rents increasing by 1.5%,’ said Kusher. ‘A number of factors such as the softest wages growth on record have contributed to this slow down. At the same time, we also saw unit construction hit record high levels and a lack of population growth which has contributed to a lesser demand for rentals,’ he explained. He pointed out that with rental rates easing over the year and home values continuing to rise rental yields continue to sit at record lows of 3.3% for houses and 4.2% for units. However, gross rental yields for houses are now at record lows in Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra while unit yields are at historic lows in Sydney. Continue reading

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