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Latest RICS survey confirms UK price growth slowdown
UK house price growth, especially in London, is slowing after the historic vote to leave the European Union, according to the latest data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. The monthly report from RICS posted the lowest survey reading in three years in July. Just 5% more respondents nationally saw a rise rather than fall in prices, down from 15% the previous month. This downward trend that is evident across the UK and the London price indicator remains more downbeat with net balance of -33% which is broadly consistent with an outright drop in prices in the capital but not quite as sharp as that reported in June. The report also says that as price growth slows for now, near term price expectations across the UK were negative for the third month in succession with 12% more respondents predicting a decline in house prices over the next three months. It is the longest stretch of negative readings since 2012. As activity falters, interest from new buyers in the UK also continues to wane, with the results showing a fourth consecutive month of falling demand to a net balance of -27. Notwithstanding the potential for near term weakness, respondents are slightly more optimistic about the 12 month outlook, upgrading their estimates for price growth relative to June. The latest data shows the net balance of those expecting prices to increase over the year ahead rising from zero to 23% but this still represents a significant softening compared to six months ago, when 66% more surveyors anticipated rising prices. For the second month running, the regional breakdown shows London and East Anglia are the only areas in which prices are expected to fall over the year ahead. Nonetheless, London exhibits amongst the strongest projections over the medium term three month average, with respondents pencilling in around 4% growth, per annum, over the next five years. On the same basis, prices are expected to rise by close to 3% nationally. The report also points out that the acute shortage of property for sale appears to be providing some underpinning for prices at present. Indeed, after staging a mild recovery through the early months of 2016, average stock levels on agents’ books have since started to fall again. In fact, the flow of new sales listings coming to the market has contracted at the fastest monthly pace on record in each of the last three reports. With supply at or around record lows in most parts of the UK, lack of choice may weigh further on activity going forward. New buyer enquiries declined markedly at the headline level during July, the fourth consecutive month of falling demand. This weakness was widespread, with virtually all areas of the UK experiencing a dip in demand during July. In keeping with the deteriorating demand backdrop, sales volumes declined sharply and at the national level, a net balance of 34% more respondents reported a fall in sales… Continue reading
First time buyer lending in UK up by 25% in June compared to a year ago
There was a growth in the home lending market in the UK in June with the first time buyer market seeing a particular boost in activity, according to the latest figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). Home owners borrowed £12.3 billion, up 29% month on month and 12% year on year. They took out 68,200 loans, up 26% on May and 8% on June 2015. First time buyers borrowed £5.5 billion, up 28% on May and 25% on June last year. This equated to 34,300 loans, up 24% month on month and 17% year on year. Home movers borrowed £6.9 billion, up 33% on May and up 5% compared to a year ago. This represented 33,900 loans, up 28% month on month and up 0.3% on June 2015. Remortgage activity totalled £5.6 billion, up 8% on May and 6% compared to a year ago. This came to 32,400 loans, up 4% month on month but down 2% compared to a year ago. Landlords borrowed £2.9 billion, up 12% month on month but down 15% year on year. This came to 18,300 loans in total, up 8% compared to May and 17% compared to June 2015. On an unadjusted basis in the second quarter of the year home owners borrowed £30 billion, down 2% quarter on quarter and 7% year on year. They took out 169,600 loans, up 4% on the first quarter and 3% on the same quarter in 2015. First time buyers borrowed £13.7 billion, up 23% on the first quarter of the year and up 21% on the same quarter in 2015. This equated to 87,100 loans, up 23% month on month and 14% year on year. Home movers borrowed £16.4 billion, down 16% on first quarter and 2% compared to a year ago. This represented 82,600 loans, down 10% quarter on quarter and 6% on the second quarter 2015. Remortgage activity totalled £16.9 billion, up 10% on the first quarter and 25% compared to a year ago. This came to 98,700 loans, up 10% quarter on quarter and 17% compared to a year ago. Landlords borrowed £8 billion, down 46% compared to the first quarter of the year and down 9% year on year. This came to 51,600 loans in total, a drop of 45% compared to the first quarter and down 11% year on year compared to the second quarter of 2015. The CML now publishes seasonally adjusted monthly and quarterly data (see attached), alongside the normal unadjusted data. Paul Smee, CML director general said that this makes it easier to spot underlying trends. ‘These figures reveal growth in house purchase activity and in particular for first- time buyers. As ever, there is uncertainty and it will take more time and patience to understand how the market will evolve in the current environment as these figures predominantly cover activity in the run up to the referendum,’ he explained. ‘We still believe that the mortgage market is well capitalised, resilient… Continue reading
Research shows just 18% of UK mortgage holders overpay to reduce their loan
Mortgage holders in the UK could save over £1,800 in interest alone through regular overpayments, according to new research. Some 18% overpay on their mortgage every time a payment is due and 11% have even delayed buying a new car to make the extra payment, however 58% never overpay. Overall UK mortgage holders could save over £14 billion over the next two decades by regularly overpaying, the research from Comparethemarket shows. Overpaying each month by as little as £59, or around 10% of an average monthly payment, means mortgage holders could reduce their mortgage term by approximately one year and four months and possibly save £1,842 on interest alone. For first time buyers the potential savings are even greater. Mortgage holders between 25 and 34 years old could reduce their mortgage term by approximately two years and eight months and save roughly £6,553 on interest by overpaying by 10%. Many home owners are already aware of the benefits of overpayment. The survey found that 52% said that contributing more towards their mortgage each month would make them feel more financially secure, with 19% agreeing that it would make them feel much more secure. Those who do regularly contribute extra to their mortgage overpay by an average of 4.7%. Nearly a fifth said that they overpay every time a payment is due and 15% admitted to overpaying by more than 10% in the last 12 months. Many mortgage holders are willing to give up day to day luxuries in order to afford overpayments. To pay off more of their mortgage, over one in ten people delayed buying a new car, 18% had not taken a holiday abroad and over a fifth put off buying a luxury item such as expensive clothes or a new gadget such as an iPad. However the majority of people still hesitate to put more money towards their mortgage every month, with 58% admitting to never overpaying. Of those who don’t overpay, a fifth think they have too many other outgoings such as household bills, and one in 10 were not aware they could overpay on their mortgage or thought it seemed too complicated. Of those who do not overpay, 44% thought they couldn’t afford the extra payments, yet respondents also said they spent on average £167 each month on non-necessity items, with nearly one in 10 admitting to more than £300. The research also shows that 25 to 34 year olds admitted to spending closer to £210 on luxuries such as going out for dinner or attending the theatre. ‘As a nation we are getting more proactive in searching for the best deals, whether on energy providers or insurance. Whilst committing more of your pay cheque towards your mortgage can seem financially daunting, making small contributions each month, or even a one-off lump sum overpayment, could save mortgage holders thousands of pounds in the long term,’ said Jody Baker, head of money at the comparison website. ‘Sacrificing one meal… Continue reading
