Taylor Scott International News
Prices in central London’s prime residential market fell 0.3% in October, the steepest monthly decline since the summer of 2010, and annual growth slowed to 1%, the lowest rate since October 2009. This latest data from real estate firm Knight Frank means that the firm has revised 2016 forecast for the sector down to 2% from 4.5%. According to Tom Bill, Knight Frank’s head of London research, even although it has been 11 months since the Chancellor raised stamp duty for properties worth more than £1.1 million, the consequences have only come into sharper focus in recent weeks. ‘The spring selling season was overshadowed by the general election and, after a seasonal lull in the summer, the autumn market has been the first reliable test of sentiment since the stamp duty increase. Autumn is typically a more active time of year but the final months of 2015 have been marked by a standoff between buyers and sellers,’ he explained. ‘There is a degree of nervousness around global economic events such as the China slowdown and the fact some markets have experienced strong price growth in recent years, but the stand-off primarily comes down to the arithmetic of higher stamp duty rates,’ he said. ‘Buyers calculate it will take them longer to recover the extra stamp duty expense in house price inflation and expect a lower asking price, something vendors are not always willing to concede,’ he added. The figures also shows that the number of exchanges in the three months to September was 17% lower than in 2014. Meanwhile, the number of new prospective buyers was 30% down on the same period in 2014. ‘However, despite the stand-off, there are signs some vendors have realised demand has cooled since the stamp duty increase and where asking prices have come down the market is operating in a normal manner and tapping into underlying demand that remains resilient,’ Bill concluded. Taylor Scott International
Taylor Scott International, Taylor Scott
