Taylor Scott International News
Residential development land prices in the UK fell by 2.3% between April and the end of June and activity remained steady in the run up to the historic vote on the future of the country in the European Union. The quarterly reduction extended annual declines in pricing for prime central London and greenfield development land, but urban brownfield land is still recording strong annual growth, according to the latest index from real estate firm Knight Frank. Greenfield development land prices declined by 2.3% between April and the end of June taking the annual fall to 3.8%. In prime central London, average residential development land prices fell for the third consecutive quarter, dropping by 6.9%. Average values are down 9.4% on an annual basis, but the report points out that this follows several years of very strong growth, so the index has returned to 2014 levels. Developers reported that activity continued in the run-up to the EU referendum vote, with house purchase rates remaining steady, especially in the regional markets. ‘The fundamentals of the market, characterised by an imbalance between supply and demand and ultra-low mortgage rates, remain unchanged,’ said Grainne Gilmour, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. However, she pointed out that some house builders and developers are increasing their margins and hurdle rates on greenfield and prime central London land deals. ‘This is in order to allow for increased uncertainty over the future economic landscape as the UK negotiates its way to a new position within the Europe. This is feeding into land prices,’ she explained. In terms of greenfield sites, smaller plots for around 150 to 200 units close to urban areas and transport links are still the most in demand, with higher levels of competition for such opportunities and the report also points out that construction costs, which have risen notably over the last two years, are also a factor in land prices, especially in the central London market. Indeed, in London the cost of construction is altering the viability of some sites and in some cases this has led to a trimming of land costs. Urban land values are up by more than 9%. There is still strong demand for city centre sites in key regional locations, and in outer London boroughs, although the dynamics of each market are closely aligned with the demand and supply fundamentals at play in the local area. Taylor Scott International
Taylor Scott International, Taylor Scott