Taylor Scott International News
Gross mortgage lending in the UK reached £21.8 billion in October, some 8% higher than the previous month, according to the latest estimates from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. In addition to the month on month rise, lending rose 19% year on year, from £18.4 billion in October 2014, the highest monthly figure since gross lending reached £23.6 billion in July 2008. ‘As lending in the regulated mortgage space picked up over the summer months, the pace of recovery has improved. This looks set to continue over the closing months of the year with the factors helping support this recovery continuing to be low inflation, strong wage growth, an improving labour market and competitive mortgage deals,’ said Bob Pannell, CML chief economist. ‘As a result lending this year is likely to exceed our forecast of £209 billion, though affordability pressures will limit business volumes for first-time buyers and movers meaning that we think the market has only modest further upside potential over the short term,’ he added. According to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, lending levels are at an impressive seven year high. ‘We’re yet to clear the pre-crisis July 2008 benchmark but over the summer the mortgage market has really taken it up a notch, and month on month improvements are getting more cheerful as we approach the festive season,’ he said. He pointed out that London has seen a significant boost in mortgage buyers and first time buyers since June, as domestic activity intensifies in the housing market. Mortgage buyers accounted for 65% of London property purchases in the third quarter of 2015, a significant leap from 52% the previous quarter. In addition to this 26% of all third quarter sales were to first time buyers. ‘Overall competitive mortgage rates and low inflation have paved a smoother road for buyers, and this has shifted the dynamic in the capital towards British buyers, as key tax changes still act as a speed bump to some overseas buyers and investors,’ added Rollings. John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank, pointed out that a scarcity of supply of property remains an issue in a lending market that is still driven very much be refinancing activity. ‘Wages are still growing, while deflation is bolstering incomes in real terms, supporting borrower’s finances. Negative inflation is also kicking a rate rise into the long grass, which is enabling lenders to offer historically attractive rates,’ he added. Demand is being driven by continued interest from prospective house buyers and a surge in the remortgage market, and this is being matched by the availability of finance, according to Henry Woodcock, principal mortgage consultant at IRESS. ‘Eyes are now turning towards end of year targets, fuelling interest rate competition between lenders, further stimulating borrower demand. With interest rate hikes now unlikely until the first half of 2016 at the earliest, the cost of servicing a mortgage… Taylor Scott International
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