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UK house price growth reaches 11 month high, says RICS survey
House price growth in the UK increased again in June, reaching an 11 month high, according to the latest market report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). It comes at a time when market supply is falling with the survey showing average stock of houses per surveyor has fallen to its lowest since RICS began collecting the data in 1978. The survey also reports that buyer demand has increased in all parts of the UK expect the South East despite a more cautious attitude from lenders. It is the second month in a row that demand has risen. RICS says that one reason for the slight recovery in buyer enquiries is likely to have been a further drop in mortgage rates which is accompanying the ongoing strength of the labour market. The data also shows that 41% more surveyors expect house prices to rise over the next three months, which is the highest proportion since April 2014 and 36% more surveyors expect sales to increase despite the broadly flat trend in newly agreed sales. Across the rental sector, the demand and supply imbalance is also visible and instructions, which have been broadly unchanged for the past couple of years and show no signs of a material increase, are at growing odds with the rising demand that is putting further upward pressure on rents. ‘Although much of the discussion about supply shortages has focused on the owner occupier market, the survey demonstrates in no uncertain terms that the issue, at least at a headline level, is just as visible in the rental sector. This is most clearly reflected in both the house price and rental projections over the medium term which comfortably exceeds the likely growth in wages,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘There had been some hope that the removal of political uncertainty following the general election would encourage more properties onto the market but the initial indications are that this is not proving to be the case,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the recent flat pattern of appraisals by respondents to the survey suggests this is not about to change anytime soon As a result, it is hardly surprising that prices across much of the country are continuing to be squeezed higher with property set to become ever more unaffordable,’ he added. According to Jeremy Blackburn, RICS head of policy, pointed out that the government has its sights set on a long term project to drive owner occupation and property owning but the monthly survey shows that it is not just in this area where there is a marked shortfall in supply. ‘Just as significant is the pressure that is clearly building across the rental sector, through which a large part of our population is housed. It is particularly important for the younger more mobile workforce that it is central to improving our economic productivity,’ he said. He also pointed out that the housing benefit cuts announced the Budget will push many… Continue reading
UK financial watchdog says mortgage advice can be improved
Most people in the UK get suitable advice when they take out a mortgage but there is still room for an improvement in standards, according to a review by the UK’s financial watchdog. Two studies from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) found that many lenders have taken significant steps to provide advice for the first time. These firms, and those that have always provided advice, should now focus on delivering consistently good outcomes for customers. They also found that while there was no evidence of systemic customer detriment, some firms were failing to take reasonable steps to obtain sufficient, relevant information about customers’ needs and circumstances before making recommendations. Although 59% of advice provided to customers was assessed as suitable, with only a small number of cases assessed as demonstrably unsuitable, the basis for 38% of recommendations was unclear. The consumer research highlighted that some customers place the greatest importance on the initial monthly payment to the detriment of other factors. This can dictate whether they think a mortgage is a ‘good deal’ or not. ‘A mortgage is a significant undertaking for anyone. It is vital that customers are able to get suitable advice and a positive experience when deciding on their options. Some firms were able to provide this, but not all,’ said Linda Woodall, acting director of supervision at the FCA. ‘Although we welcome the considerable work of those firms delivering advice for the first time, and particularly those that have proactively identified issues within their own processes, there is still scope for improvement. We’ll continue working with firms to ensure they deliver good outcomes for consumers,’ she added. Following the review, the FCA said it will continue to work with industry to address the issues identified. Individual feedback to firms visited as part of the study has already been given, together with actions required as a result of the findings. Some firms assessed had already independently identified issues with their advice processes, and were making changes to improve their service to consumers. The review also found that many lenders had made significant efforts to deliver advice for the first time by investing in systems, front line staff and operational capability. Some firms were relying on highly structured processes. This often resulted in lengthy, stilted and repetitive conversations with consumers which limited the adviser’s ability to engage effectively and properly assess needs and circumstances. By contrast, other firms delivered advice with little or no structure, resulting in inconsistent quality of advice and a higher chance of unsuitable recommendations. The best performing firms have demonstrated that it is possible to strike an appropriate balance. The review of advice and distribution forms part of the FCA’s wider programme of mortgages work. Its thematic review into responsible lending commenced in April 2015 and from autumn this year, the FCA will begin a wider assessment of barriers to competition, with a view to launching a market study in early 2016 on those aspects of the… Continue reading
UK residential property prices showing steady growth, latest index shows
UK house prices increased by 3.3% in the second quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter taking the average price to £200,280, according to the latest property price index. It means that the quarterly rate of change has picked up following two successive falls and prices in the three months to June were 9.6% higher than in the same three months a year earlier, the data from the Halifax shows. This was higher than May’s 8.6% and the highest quarterly rise since September 2014 when it was 9.6%, and on a monthly basis prices increased 1.7% between May and June, the fourth consecutive monthly rise. The steady increase in prices comes as home sales remain steady. Data from HMRC shows UK home sales increased by 1% between April and May and sales in the three months from March to May were 0.5% higher than in the preceding three months, but were 4.2% lower than in the same period last year. According to Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, supply remains very tight with the stock of homes available for sale currently at record low levels. ‘This shortage has been a key factor maintaining house price growth at a robust pace so far in 2015,’ he explained. ‘Economic growth, higher employment, increasing real earnings growth and very low mortgage rates are all supporting housing demand with signs of a recent modest pick-up in demand,’ he added. Jonathan Samuels, chief executive officer of Dragonfly Property Finance, pointed out that there are a lot of mixed signals in the property market at the moment as the latest index from the Nationwide shows prices falling slightly. He also pointed out that while prices in London have slowed, house prices per square metre have risen by 45% since 2010, highlighting the extent of the growth in the capital in recent years. ‘With economic growth stronger than expected during the first quarter, a buoyant jobs market and people generally better off, you would expect the market to continue to improve throughout the rest of 2015, if at a more moderate rate compared to recent years,’ he said. There is also a potential effect from the current Euro crisis and how what happens in Greece could affect the UK property market. ‘We could see a flight away from equities into bricks and mortar, but at the same time if Europe as a whole is adversely affected then the UK economy will almost certainly suffer, too,’ he added. Thomas van Straubenzee of prime London prime property agency VanHan, is expecting to see an influx of enquiries from wealthy Europeans looking to move their assets off the Continent and into London as they seek to avoid the effects of the euro crisis. ‘We have seen interest from the Middle East and India pick up again, which is not surprising as we had noticed that these buyers were particularly affronted by the idea of a mansion tax. We do not see London… Continue reading
