Taylor Scott International News
Canary Wharf is set to have the strongest central London office rental growth in 2016 with an increase of 12.8%, followed by Shoreditch at 10% and Midtown at 9.6%, according to a new analysis. Affordability is the main driver for rents to increase, along with the development of Crossrail, integrating Canary Wharf with the rest of central London, and a general shortage of available offices across London, says the Knight Frank report. This will push tenants seeking high quality affordable offices eastwards, with Canary Wharf well placed to benefit. Expansion by Technology and Creative firms will contribute to the shift, as they are growing fast and increasingly seeking larger offices, it explains. It also says that Shoreditch’s increase in office rents will principally be driven by technology sector expansion. The more mature, established heavy weight tech firms have firmly established a London rival for California’s Silicon Valley in the area, which is set to continue to grow over the next 12 months. Indeed, the technology sector was the largest source of demand for office space in central London in 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, and rents in Shoreditch grew by nearly 24% in 2015, nearly double the 12% increase seen in the neighbouring City Core which is London’s traditional financial district. Moreover, at £65.00 per square foot, rents in Shoreditch have closed the gap on the City Core rents which stood at £70 per square foot at the end of the fourth quarter of 2015. In 2007, Shoreditch rents were £42.50 per square foot, about a third less than the City Core at £63.50 per square foot. Central London vacancy rate levels are at a 14 year low, the report also shows, the lowest since the first quarter of 2001, with the West End at 3.4%, the lowest since 1989. ‘The gap between rents in traditional core areas and other sub-markets has never been so small. Occupiers are making decisions based on quality of product and amenity, availability of scale, adjacency of workforce and not by postcode,’ said Dan Gaunt, head of City Leasing at Knight Frank. According to James Roberts, Knight Frank chief economist, what has surprised everyone is that Shoreditch office rents have got so close to those of the City Core. ‘Everyone assumed the tech firms could not afford rents that high,’ he said. ‘However, the more successful start-ups from five or six years ago have matured into larger, established companies with deeper pockets. They now need bigger, modern, high quality offices, and they can afford to pay to get what they want. It’s what happened in Silicon Valley but there the process took decades, in Shoreditch it has happened in a few years,’ he added. Taylor Scott International
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