Taylor Scott International News
The UK residential property market saw a modest rise in new instructions in January but despite higher supply there is still considerable demand due to buy to let investors seeking to avoid Aprils stamp duty change. The latest residential market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors also says that this means that the near term pressure on prices is intensifying despite a higher level of supply. Feedback to the survey continues to suggest that the recent increase in demand is due to a rush of buy to let investors looking to buy before the 3% stamp duty surcharge comes into effect in April. Some 74% of respondents expect there will be an increase in buy to let purchase as supply picked up across UK, most notably in London where the increase has been significant with a net balance of +58% more noting an increase. Elsewhere, sales instructions across the UK were much flatter. New buyer enquiries rose for the tenth successive month in January, with the pace of growth in enquiries accelerating for a second consecutive report. As activity in the housing market gathers pace overall, agreed sales have risen over the month at the fastest pace since April 2014. The picture across the UK is mixed but most areas have seen a rise in sales since the start of the year and further increases are expected. Supply has also gathered pace in the past two months but stock remains low with 46 properties per branch from 44.5, which is still 21% down compared to a year ago. Even with an improvement in supply, the rush to acquire buy to let property is pushing prices up, with 49% more surveyors reporting prices to have risen in January. Looking ahead, house prices are projected to rise further over the next 12 months, with 72% more contributors expecting prices to increase rather than fall. In the lettings market, tenant demand increased once more, with all areas of the UK seeing a rise in interest from prospective tenants during the three months to January and at the same time, landlord instructions were broadly flat. This extends an uninterrupted run in which supply has failed to keep pace with demand stretching back to 2009. As a result, expectations point to continued rental growth in all parts of the UK both at 12 month and five year time horizons, the report says. ‘How the tax changes planned for the buy to let sector over the next few years plays out remains to be seen, but there are concerns raised in the survey that existing landlords will look to either gradually scale back on their portfolios or exit the market altogether as the more penal regime begins to bite,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Against this backdrop, it is perhaps not surprising that our key indicators point to further rent, as well as house price increases. Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partners, pointed out that those investors… Taylor Scott International
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